Cruise Stocks Plunge After U.S. Tax Crackdown Announcement

Shares of major cruise lines sharply declined on Thursday after U.S. Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick announced that the Trump administration plans to require cruise companies to pay their share of U.S. income taxes.

A smartphone screen shows the Carnival Corporation logo in front of a blurred computer screen displaying an image of a cruise ship and text.

The move, which would end a long-standing industry practice of registering ships under foreign flags to avoid domestic tax obligations, sent investors into a sell-off, but slightly rebounding by noon.

Carnival Corporation (CCL), Royal Caribbean (RCL), and Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings (NCLH) saw their stocks decline between 7% and 11% in early trading.

Screenshot displaying cruise stock downturns: Carnival Corporation at 24.22 (-1.86), Royal Caribbean Cruises at 240.78 (-23.23), Norwegian Cruise Line at 25.30 (-1.70), and Viking Holdings at 49.42 (-1.98). Each graph plunges red following a new crackdown announcement impacting the sector.

Viking Holdings (VIK) also took a hit, dropping nearly 4%. Lutnick’s comments, made Wednesday night on Fox News, signaled that the administration would seek to close tax loopholes that have historically allowed cruise operators to avoid U.S. corporate taxes.

“You ever see a cruise ship with an American flag on the back?” Lutnick said. “None of them pay taxes… This is going to end under Donald Trump, and those taxes are going to be paid.”

Fact Check: Do Cruise Lines Pay Their Share of Taxes

He added that the tax revenue collected from cruise companies would contribute to lowering tax rates for American citizens.

A white lighthouse stands on a small rocky island in Nassau, Bahamas surrounded by turquoise water. In the background, Nassau reveals a cluster of tall, pink buildings amid greenery under a clear blue sky.

The sell-off comes as the cruise industry already faces growing financial pressures, including rising fuel costs and regulatory changes.

Oil prices have surged more than 16% from 2024 lows, while a UBS report noted weakening demand for cruise departures from California, partly due to wildfires, and a slowdown in Canadian bookings caused by a strong U.S. dollar.

Despite investor concerns, analysts at Stifel Financial called the stock declines a “massive overreaction,” pointing out that similar tax proposals have surfaced multiple times over the past 15 years without advancing.

A large cargo ship is sailing on a body of water at sunset, loaded with colorful shipping containers. In the foreground, a bird is perched on a wooden post. The sky, reminiscent of scenes typically graced by a cruise ship, glows with orange and pink hues.

They also noted that the cruise industry is categorized under cargo shipping in U.S. tax policy, making regulatory changes difficult without broader reforms affecting global trade.

If implemented, analysts warn cruise lines may relocate their corporate headquarters outside the U.S., further reducing American-based jobs.

Industry experts say how the administration would enforce new tax regulations on companies operating largely in international waters remains unclear.

While the announcement has rattled the market, Stifel advised investors to view the pullback as a buying opportunity, citing continued strength in post-pandemic cruise demand.

The last attempt at tax reform for the cruise industry occurred in 2017 but was unsuccessful.